Nvidia Ampere (2080 Ti, etc. replacements) and other rumors...

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  • TheKDTheKD Posts: 2,703

    If anything, this tells us one thing: PC gaming is bigger than ever before.

    A lot of those people that were in the parkinglot, would probably have been working/at school, and going after they get out for their GPU in normal years lol.

  • outrider42outrider42 Posts: 3,679
    TheKD said:

    If anything, this tells us one thing: PC gaming is bigger than ever before.

    A lot of those people that were in the parkinglot, would probably have been working/at school, and going after they get out for their GPU in normal years lol.

    Certainly the COVID situation has changed things, but if they didn't camp out this time they would not have even had a chance at these parts. The fact that in the past you could have went to the store after getting off work or school demonstrates the demand was not as crazy back then. Contrast that to nearly every single launch of a console which required you to wait in line for it before it launched. Even the unsuccessful consoles sold out at launch, like the Dreamcast that I mentioned, LOL. When a new iphone launches they have huge lines. And so on. Traditionally GPUs and other PC parts do not have this kind of camping going on.

  • tj_1ca9500btj_1ca9500b Posts: 2,057
    edited September 2020

    https://wccftech.com/nvidia-apologizes-for-geforce-rtx-3080-launch-day-stock-issues-as-demand-exceeds-expectations/

    I find the part about people using bots to place fake bids on the 'scalped' 3080s to drive the price insanely high so that no one will buy them interesting...

    Of course, some human might actually end up paying those exhorbant prices, but since the hardware scalpers have been ruining launches for a while now, I don't feel sorry that, since they likely use bots themselves to grab all of that stock, that they are themselves being targetted by bots.  Turnabout is fair play maybe?

    I haven't bothered to even try to shop for these new cards.  I was already planning on waiting a few months anyways for the supply to stabilize.  As for the unprecedented demand, I'm not at all surprised, as the 3080 at MSRP is a screamin' deal, relative to it's predecessors!

    I could go for a cheaper 2080 Ti maybe, but I'm looking really hard at those 3090 cards ATM.  In the meantime, I'm making do with my 1080 Ti!

    Post edited by tj_1ca9500b on
  • TheKDTheKD Posts: 2,703
    edited September 2020

    I do know a lot of people that said hell no to the RTX and super prices and stuck with their 1070 and 1080 cards. The prices were a bit better this realease, could also explain a nice chunk of the demand on this release. 1070 to a 3070 would be a nice performance bump for the price, if you can get your hands on one lol.

    Post edited by TheKD on
  • evacyn said:

    Reports are that the scalpers used bots to buy the entire stock within seconds of the stores going live.

    Others are speculating that it was a "paper" launch and that there was no real stock available anywhere outside of the review cards sent to the YouTubers, etc. Of course that's full-blown tin-foil hat.

    GN went to AIBs directly and most have said that the stock was similar to the Turing launch, so no, this was not a paper launch. The issue here is the demand is totally insane. Several retailers all crashed when the cards went on sale. The retailers also said they they received record amounts of traffic during the launch, more than Black Friday. Obviously that would not happen without huge demand. And sure, some of the traffic probably came from bots, too.

    The video is kind of long, 30 minutes, but Steve goes into great detail here. He discusses past launches, and how several big launches this year all sold out super fast. The COVID situation has changed things, as more people are at home.

    But the conclusion is that this is not a paper launch.

    I checked with someone I know who works at the local Microcenter. They got more than they got for the launch of Turing. They had a parking lot full of people more than one hour before opening, they started giving out numbers one hour before. They had sold out before the store opened and that was with a one per customer rule.

    This is what is different than before. You don't typically have so many people camping out for the launch of a PC part. For gaming consoles, yes, that has been routine for years. I waited in line for a Sega Dreamcast! HA! But GPUs? That is pretty unprecedented. You often see a few of the diehards at any such launch, but not a parking lot full of them. This really illustrates the incredible demand for these cards.

    If anything, this tells us one thing: PC gaming is bigger than ever before.

    Also, with how the websites crashed and then showed no stock before many could even place an order, this also tells me that buying these GPU in person at a physical store may have been the way to go. At least for launch. The scalpers can't game the physical retail system without paying extra people up front to wait for them, and that defeats the purpose of the scalping mark up. So if some people really want one of these cards, driving to the store each day before they open may be the best option.

    I'm not sure about people camping parking lots but that Microcenter, the Chicago city one, has had first day sell throughs of a number of major launches going back to the Ryzen 7's. I remember that one because he called me telling me to get in gear because the part I wanted, the 1700, was almost gone. The PC enthusiast market has been showing an increase in sales in the last 3 or 4 years as the consoles got very old. Going forward a lot will depend on whether the game makers produce some good games for this new HW or just fall back, as they have in the past, on retreads of console games.

    On that, not that is new, there is a prerelease remastered Crysis kicking around that looks amazing, that breaks the 3080 (sub 30fps at 4k). If game devs start really pushing the envelope like they did back in the day with Crysis and GTA we could really see some stuff. It's not like we don't have the HW for it now.

  • Back when I could drive before my stroke last year I would go over to the Micro Center off I-75 north of Detroit and they were always busy and it was normal to see long lines for anything. I imagine they had a good turnout for this launch.

  • nicsttnicstt Posts: 11,715
    evacyn said:

    Reports are that the scalpers used bots to buy the entire stock within seconds of the stores going live.

    Others are speculating that it was a "paper" launch and that there was no real stock available anywhere outside of the review cards sent to the YouTubers, etc. Of course that's full-blown tin-foil hat.

    It could be either of a mixture of the two. We have no information so can't really offer an opinion.

  • nicsttnicstt Posts: 11,715

    https://wccftech.com/nvidia-apologizes-for-geforce-rtx-3080-launch-day-stock-issues-as-demand-exceeds-expectations/

    I find the part about people using bots to place fake bids on the 'scalped' 3080s to drive the price insanely high so that no one will buy them interesting...

    Of course, some human might actually end up paying those exhorbant prices, but since the hardware scalpers have been ruining launches for a while now, I don't feel sorry that, since they likely use bots themselves to grab all of that stock, that they are themselves being targetted by bots.  Turnabout is fair play maybe?

    I haven't bothered to even try to shop for these new cards.  I was already planning on waiting a few months anyways for the supply to stabilize.  As for the unprecedented demand, I'm not at all surprised, as the 3080 at MSRP is a screamin' deal, relative to it's predecessors!

    I could go for a cheaper 2080 Ti maybe, but I'm looking really hard at those 3090 cards ATM.  In the meantime, I'm making do with my 1080 Ti!

    My opinion is they will sell out as quick.

  • nicstt said:

     

    I could go for a cheaper 2080 Ti maybe, but I'm looking really hard at those 3090 cards ATM.  In the meantime, I'm making do with my 1080 Ti!

    My opinion is they will sell out as quick.

     

    Related, I think if the initial reviews of the 3090 are even slightly disappointing, there will be another huge surge for the 3080s. 

  • DeathKnightDeathKnight Posts: 98
    edited September 2020

    I snagged an MSI 3080 VENTUS OC from Newegg Wednesday evening when it kept popping in and out of stock randomly. Luckily they didn't cancel my order. It shipped out yesterday (UPS Next Day Air) and I got it a little before noon today.

    https://imgur.com/rsCdBr5

    Replacing an MSI 1070Ti.

    Post edited by DeathKnight on
  • kyoto kidkyoto kid Posts: 41,257
    edited September 2020

    Reports are that the scalpers used bots to buy the entire stock within seconds of the stores going live.

    ...sounds like back to the situation we had during the cryptomining craze. 

    Galaxy said:

    ...wow 70,000$. That could build one beast of a workstation with dual 64 core Epyc CPUs, 1 TB of DDR4 ECC RAM, dual NVLinked RTX Quadro 8000s several high capacity SSDs, dual 4K 32" displays, and a beefy UPS to protect it (and I might even have a little change rattling around in the pocket after all is said and done).

    Post edited by kyoto kid on
  • kyoto kidkyoto kid Posts: 41,257

    ...focusing on the 3090, already have 12 GB with a Titan-X.

    As I've mentioned before, VRAM can be a factor in rendering speed if it prevents the process from dumping to the CPU.

  • kenshaw011267kenshaw011267 Posts: 3,805
    edited September 2020
    kyoto kid said:

    Reports are that the scalpers used bots to buy the entire stock within seconds of the stores going live.

    ...sounds like back to the situation we had during the cryptomining craze. 

    Reports back then were most of the cards never even made it out of China. It wasn't that the retailers were having them snatched by bots but that they simply never even got any significant numbers. My friend said his Microcenter would expect a case and get one card.

    The AIB's got very tight lipped about the whole thing but almost all the cards are made in a very small geographic region in China and go through the same port. 

    kyoto kid said:
    Galaxy said:

    ...wow 70,000$. That could build one beast of a workstation with dual 64 core Epyc CPUs, 1 TB of DDR4 ECC RAM, dual NVLinked RTX Quadro 8000s several high capacity SSDs, dual 4K 32" displays, and a beefy UPS to protect it (and I might even have a little change rattling around in the pocket after all is said and done).

    I'm opretty confident that's someone who will refuse to pay just to yank the sellers chain, the seller may not even have the card.

    Post edited by kenshaw011267 on
  • GalaxyGalaxy Posts: 562
    kyoto kid said:

    Reports are that the scalpers used bots to buy the entire stock within seconds of the stores going live.

    ...sounds like back to the situation we had during the cryptomining craze. 

    Galaxy said:

    ...wow 70,000$. That could build one beast of a workstation with dual 64 core Epyc CPUs, 1 TB of DDR4 ECC RAM, dual NVLinked RTX Quadro 8000s several high capacity SSDs, dual 4K 32" displays, and a beefy UPS to protect it (and I might even have a little change rattling around in the pocket after all is said and done).

    I think this is the one of reasons outrider42 start doubting it (I also believe he is one of very technical minded man and it is highly unlikely his calculation is wrong.)

    Anyway this card is creating some unprecedented events and news.

  • NylonGirlNylonGirl Posts: 1,939

    I snagged an MSI 3080 VENTUS OC from Newegg Wednesday evening when it kept popping in and out of stock randomly. Luckily they didn't cancel my order. It shipped out yesterday (UPS Next Day Air) and I got it a little before noon today.

    https://imgur.com/rsCdBr5

    Replacing an MSI 1070Ti.

    Oh you're like those people who actually manage to empty their wishlist.

  • kyoto kidkyoto kid Posts: 41,257

    ...glad I still have my Titan-X for now.   Still saving for a 3090 (originally was for an RTX Titan).

  • NylonGirl said:

    Oh you're like those people who actually manage to empty their wishlist.

    Not sure what you're trying to insinuate.... lol

  • rrwardrrward Posts: 556
    edited September 2020
    kyoto kid said:

    ...glad I still have my Titan-X for now.   Still saving for a 3090 (originally was for an RTX Titan).

    If the scores are anywhere near what they should be I'm getting one of those. Just have to figure out what to do with the soon to be displaced 2080tis.

    Post edited by rrward on
  • rrwardrrward Posts: 556
    nicstt said:

    My opinion is they will sell out as quick.

     

    Related, I think if the initial reviews of the 3090 are even slightly disappointing, there will be another huge surge for the 3080s. 

    Poeple buying the 3090 for gaming won't care. They're buying status symbols. Render junkies will want all that juicy VRAM and be okay if they're not the Holy Grail of video cards (assuming they can afford them at all).

  • Seven193Seven193 Posts: 1,111
    edited September 2020

    A $700 graphics card isn't an essential good, so maybe the price gougers will go crazy buying them up.  Most retail sellers don't care either, because it's money in their pocket, either way.

    Good power supplies are also short on supply.  What a horrible year for upgrading your computer.

    Post edited by Seven193 on
  • That's why I do so much business with Microcenter. They have lots of PSU's. I checked Newegg and they are sold out of all the units I commonly buy for customer builds which is kind of scary.

    Wonder what supply will look like by late Oct. when the Ryzen 4000 CPU's should go on sale. I was hoping to do a few builds for Xmas cash.

  • bluejauntebluejaunte Posts: 1,923
    edited September 2020

    Post edited by bluejaunte on
  • evacynevacyn Posts: 975

    So happy to see that they're doing a 3080 with 20GB :) Here's another article on it: https://www.tomshardware.com/amp/news/gigabyte-exposes-possible-rtx-3060-ti-rtx-3070-16gb-and-rtx-3080-20gb-models
  • nicsttnicstt Posts: 11,715

    I keep telling folks to wait; although the FE 3080 is still a decent deal, but more RAM is essential in rendering.

  • Ghosty12Ghosty12 Posts: 2,068
    nicstt said:

    I keep telling folks to wait; although the FE 3080 is still a decent deal, but more RAM is essential in rendering.

    Pretty much why I am hanging out and waiting patiently for what comes next, with what I am hearing about the next AMD cards it might just give Nvidia the incentive to release cards with more vram and such..

  • nicstt said:

    I keep telling folks to wait; although the FE 3080 is still a decent deal, but more RAM is essential in rendering.

    Depends on what you're rendering. Back when I was using a GTX 970 with 4GB it was easier to reach the limit and drop to CPU rendering. With a 1070Ti and 8GB I don't think I ever had issues unless it was some ridiculous set piece or something. The 3080 has 10GB. There's also ways to reduce render mem usage and utilities that can help as well.

     

  • nicsttnicstt Posts: 11,715

    Indeed there are ways to reduce RAM useage, but it can take time. It is nice to not have to worry about RAM, which is why I said two things: FE 3080 is a good deal, but more RAM is essential. More doesn't indicate any specific amount as being optimal (although it could be understood that I mean more than 10 - and for me 24 is possibly not always enough.); for you 4 wasn't enough, whereas 8 rarely isn't.

  • PerttiAPerttiA Posts: 10,024
    edited September 2020
    nicstt said:

    I keep telling folks to wait; although the FE 3080 is still a decent deal, but more RAM is essential in rendering.

    Depends on what you're rendering. Back when I was using a GTX 970 with 4GB it was easier to reach the limit and drop to CPU rendering. With a 1070Ti and 8GB I don't think I ever had issues unless it was some ridiculous set piece or something. The 3080 has 10GB. There's also ways to reduce render mem usage and utilities that can help as well.

    4GB was ok 4 years ago, 8GB is ok now, 10GB is going to be less than ok pretty soon...

    Post edited by PerttiA on
  • I agree that higher VRAM trumps speed for me, as well.  It all comes down to priorities, of course, but I'd much rather have high capacity card and not worry about managing scene size than having to manage VRAM consumption, even if the card is blazing fast.

  • nicsttnicstt Posts: 11,715
    duckbomb said:

    I agree that higher VRAM trumps speed for me, as well.  It all comes down to priorities, of course, but I'd much rather have high capacity card and not worry about managing scene size than having to manage VRAM consumption, even if the card is blazing fast.

    Indeed, doesn't matter how fast a card is if it's rendering on CPU, which in Blender I'm fine with but that's another story.

    Again, faster rendering is offset by getting a scene to render on a card that doesn't have enough.

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